Yesterday, I posted about the first real-world data we have on vaccines. It’s good news, y’all! What I didn’t expect were the slew of comments saying, “NOW I CAN TAKE MY MASK OFF!” In other words, “So you’re saying there’s a chance…”
❎ Uhm, slow your roll, friends. Nope, not what I said or what the data said.
⭐Keep the mask on! Why?
✅ PICTURE 1. Because we are nowhere near herd immunity. In the US as a whole, 29% are partially vaccinated and 16% are fully vaccinated. This also differs significantly by state!
✅ PICTURES 2 and 3. Vaccinations differ by state too. Texas, you are at 13%. That’s progress, but not take-off-your-mask progress yet. The state with the MOST is only at 23%.
✅ PICTURE 4. We can expect that at the current pace of 1.75 million vaccinations per day (the current 7-day average), we will finally reach 70% by June and 90% by July of partial vaccinations.
✅ PICTURES 5 AND 6. We are still in a race between vaccines and variants – and the US cases have increased by 19% over the past 14 days (Picture 5). 🙈🙈🙈 3 days ago – we were ONLY increasing BY 3% (Picture 6). Y’all, that’s a HUGE increase in the 24-day average. Deaths and hospitalizations are still decreasing, but not as drastically as they had been.
✅ PICTURES 7 AND 8. Let’s look at some of the reasons why the CDC Director yesterday went off script with an emotional plea to take the 4th surge seriously and continue wearing masks.
◾ Let’s look at Michigan. Michigan has an explosion of cases, with an over 100% increase in hospitalizations, and 17% of the population vaccinated.
◾ Let’s look at New Jersey. 20% increase in cases, 14% increase in hospitalizations, and only 18% vaccinated.
◾ There are 31 states with increasing cases. The “impending doom” is not sensationalized or fear-mongering. It’s a radar of an approaching storm of the 4th surge. We need to listen and take heed.
THE BIGGEST DEFENSE WE HAVE UNTIL WE HAVE HERD IMMUNITY THROUGH VACCINES ARE MASKS AND DISTANCING.
⭐⭐ KEY TAKE-AWAYS:
✅ 1. It was ONE STUDY cited yesterday. A good study. But, still only one of 4,000 people. It showed promising results, but should we make all conclusions from one study of 4,000 people? NOPE and NADA.
✅ 2. Do masks work? Yep. I’ll post all the data in the sources below. Mask mandates work too and should not have been or be lifted with the rise in cases. We can chew gum (keep businesses open) and walk (masks and distancing) at the same time. We can do hard things. The opening picture on this post shows that cases AND deaths slowed in counties that had mask mandates. Cases and deaths INCREASED in counties with reduced restrictions, like on-site restaurant dining.
⭐ ⭐ ✅ BOTTOM LINE: There was good news about the vaccines in the real-world data study. But it will take a while where that translates into taking off your masks in public gatherings. Don’t do it. Keep it on, especially with cases rising like they are. And, pull it over that nose. =)
MMWR mask mandate study: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7010e3.htm
All pictures: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html#states https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-19-vaccine-doses.html?name=styln-coronavirus®ion=TOP_BANNER&block=storyline_menu_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Interactive&impression_id=&variant=1_Show